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Betting on the World Cup 2018 | Fortune

The volume of bets placed on the event is set to soar, with smartphone apps making wagering easier than ever before. The Betfair betting exchange has reported “strong levels of activity” in the run-up to the tournament and expects to take 2.5 billion pounds ($3.3 billion) of wagers. Australia’s Tabcorp Holdings may see a revenue gain of up to A$140 million ($106 million) from the competition, more than the A$126 million from Brazil 2014, according to Andrew Orbach, an analyst at Taylor Collison. By contrast, the World Cup may be a short-term negative for industries like casinos that stand to lose out when gamblers’ attention and money shift elsewhere. During the last competition in 2014, Macau’s gross gaming revenue declined in both June and July and didn’t pick up even after the tournament ended. Deutsche Bank last week trimmed estimates on Wynn Resorts Ltd., saying the World Cup “could cause some VIP softness in June.” Pubs in countries whose teams progress to the tournament’s later stages stand to gain from hosting throngs of jubilant fans. Disappointment caused by an early exit is likely to have the opposite effect. According to Berenberg analysts, the World Cup will be a boon to U.K. pub operators such as Greene King, with the brokerage estimating that some may see a 2% to 3% boost to like-for-like sales for the quarter. The maker of the winning team’s uniform can expect a short-term boost from sales of replica shirts.

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